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Outer East air quality and smoke forecast

Current government PM2.5 readings within the official Melbourne - Outer East SA4 boundary, with separate NASA GEOS-CF, CAMS and SILAM total-PM2.5 forecasts.

Updated · ABS 2026 region · concentrations, not an Australian AQI

Current air quality and forecast

Now · observedGood5.0 µg/m³ median · 3 current monitors
Next 48 hoursGood4.2–7.5 µg/m³ · 3 of 3 models
Forecast peak7.5 µg/m³09 Oct, 11:00 PM AEDT · CAMS

Nearby fires

150 km radius

Within 150 km, agencies report 4 other fire locations.

View 4 nearby fire locations

Agency fire reports updated

Straight-line distance from the Melbourne - Outer East representative centre to the reported incident location, or to the mapped fire boundary where an agency has published one. A fire without a published boundary may extend closer than its reported location suggests.

Last 24 hours and next 48 hours across Outer East

330−24 hNow+24 h+48 hµg/m³
Range across monitors
About this chart

The observed line is the hourly median across reporting monitors and the shaded range shows local variation. NASA GEOS-CF, CAMS and SILAM are separate total surface PM2.5 research forecasts sampled near the reporting-monitor centre. They are not smoke-only, official health forecasts or blended with observations.

Forecast

Next 6 hoursGood1.7–7.0 µg/m³ · 3 of 3 models
Next 12 hoursGood1.8–7.1 µg/m³ · 3 of 3 models
Next 24 hoursGood3.2–7.1 µg/m³ · 3 of 3 models
Next 48 hoursGood4.2–7.5 µg/m³ · 3 of 3 models
Model detail3 available · 48-hour peak table
Model48-hour peakCategoryPeak around
NASA GEOS-CF7.2 µg/m³Good10 Oct, 8:30 AM AEDT
CAMS7.5 µg/m³Good09 Oct, 11:00 PM AEDT
FMI SILAM4.2 µg/m³Good09 Oct, 5:00 PM AEDT

Highest readings right now

current hourly PM2.5
HealesvilleGood5.1 µg/m³Indicative sensorYarra GlenGood5.0 µg/m³Indicative sensorMooroolbarkGood3.1 µg/m³
All government monitors (4 total; 3 current)
MonitorPM2.5 µg/m³Air qualityObserved local
Healesville †5.1Good08 Oct, 2:00 PM AEDT
Yarra Glen †5.0Good08 Oct, 2:00 PM AEDT
Mooroolbark3.1Good08 Oct, 2:00 PM AEDT

† The publishing agency identifies these as indicative sensors. They add local coverage but are not reference-grade monitors.